With a staggering 1.6 percent growth, fuel oil is an interesting bet in 2022. Why do people trade fuel oil? Here is a brief overview of three frequently cited reasons people are interested in shopping fuel oil.
Cold winter insurance. People who live in cold climates and use heating oil to heat their homes may want to trade in raw materials before the winter months. Some may think that using heating oil to protect themselves from the cost of winter costs can be a reasonable risk reduction strategy.
Fuel oil trading is also a way to invest in global economic growth. As emerging markets expand, many analysts believe that demand for fossil fuels will outpace supply and drive prices higher.
In addition, newly developed areas often lack natural gas infrastructure and need heating oil as a fuel source. Fuel oil for portfolio diversification Fuel oil can be an effective way to diversify a trading portfolio. Most traders have assets that are heavily concentrated in the equity and fixed income markets.
Commodities provide diversification because they generally have low correlations with stocks and bonds. Risks of Trading in Fuel Oil All transactions involve the risk of losses, so traders should consider the risks of speculating in fuel oil prices.
Some of the risks include: Warmer-than-average weather can lead to lower prices. A stronger US dollar could lead to weaker commodity prices, including heating oil. Alternative heating sources and technological developments in insulation materials can reduce the demand for heating oil.
Expert opinions about fuel oil trading
Most experts agree that the price of fuel oil It is closely related to both crude oil prices and refinery capacity.
In the opinion of many analysts, the increased demand for crude oil along with pressures on refining capacity may lead to higher fuel oil prices. Janet Kong, CEO of multinational oil company BP, believes that demand for distillates such as fuel oil is driving up global demand for crude.
Other analysts agree with this view: “The biggest surprise…was on the distillate side, where it looks like we’re going to get to 1.6 percent growth.” Matti Lemos, Vice President of Oil Products at Neste Oil
How to buy heating oil
There are several direct and indirect ways to trade fuel oil: Comparison of fuel oil trading methods
method | complication | Storage costs | Security costs | Last Expiry Date | management cost | Effect | regulated stock exchange |
to the end | 5 | n | n | s | n | s | s |
Options | 5 | n | n | s | n | s | s |
ETFs | 2 | n | n | n | s | n | s |
Involved | 2 | n | n | n | n | s | s |
CFDer | 3 | n | n | n | n | s | s |
What are heating oil futures contracts?
The New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), a commodities and futures exchange operated by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), offers heating oil futures contracts. The CME contract is based on 42,000 liters of heating oil per contract. The contract is traded globally on CME Globex’s electronic trading platform.
How do fuel oil futures contracts work?
A futures contract is a derivative instrument through which investors make leveraged investments in commodity prices. If prices go down, traders will have to put in extra spreads to maintain their positions. Heating oil futures contracts expire on the last business day of the month preceding the delivery month. Ultimately, investors must either accept the physical supply of fuel oil or put up their positions for the next trading month.
Investing in futures contracts requires a high level of sophistication as factors such as storage costs and interest rates influence prices.
How to trade heating oil options
NYMEX offers an option contract for heating oil futures. Options are also a derivative instrument that uses leverage to invest in commodities. As with futures contracts, options have an expiration date. But options also have an exercise price, which is the price at which the option ends up in the money.
Buyers of the option pay a price called a premium to purchase the contracts. The option succeeds if the price of the fuel oil rises above the exercise price by an amount greater than the premium paid for the contract.
Therefore, options traders must be right about the size and timing of the move in fuel oil futures to profit from their trades. Heating oil oil option contracts expire three business days before the expiration of the underlying future contract.
Understand Heating Oil ETFs
These financial instruments are traded as shares on stock exchanges in the same way as shares. There is currently only one Pure Fuel Oil (ETF) trading fund, the US LP Heating Oil and Diesel Fund.
In addition, there are several ETFs that invest more broadly in the energy sector, including such popular funds as the PowerShares DB Energy Fund and iPath Bloomberg Energy Total Return Sub-Index ETN.
Buying shares in a heating oil company
There are many companies that extract, refine and sell crude oil and crude oil products. Although these companies are not purely investments in heating oil, their stock results are related to crude oil and refined crude oil products. Stocks in oil companies also interact with other factors, including management earnings and the stock market in general.
Business | Summary | exchange |
Sinopec | Beijing-based Chinese oil and gas company | Shanghai (SSE), Hong Kong (SEHK), New York (NYSE), London (LSE) |
Royal Dutch Shell | A British-Dutch multinational company headquartered in the Netherlands | London (LSE), Amsterdam (Euronext), New York (NYSE) |
Aramco | A multinational company based in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia | trade |
CNPC | A Chinese oil company headquartered in Beijing | Shanghai (SSE), Hong Kong (SEHK), New York (NYSE), London (LSE) |
BP | The head office is located in London, but the United States has the bulk of the business | London (LSE), Frankfurt (FWB), New York (NYSE) |
ExxonMobil | American multinational oil and gas company | New York |
How to trade CFDs for fuel oil
One way to invest in heating oil is to use a derivative instrument with a contract for difference (CFD). CFDs allow investors to speculate on fuel oil prices without buying ETFs, futures, options, or oil company stocks.
The CFD value is the difference between the heating oil price at the time of purchase and the current price. Thus, CFD traders have direct financial exposure to the commodity.
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